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HMM Models in AI

Learn about HMM Models in this comprehensive AI tutorial. Master the probabilistic foundations of ASR. Explore the hidden and visible states of a Markov process, understand how the Viterbi algorithm decodes speech efficiently, and discover the legendary GMM-HMM architecture that defined the field of speech recognition for 30 years.

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HMM Hub

Sequential probability.

Quick Quiz //

Why do we need HMMs for speech?


Speech is a series of events that happen over time. Hidden Markov Models provide the mathematical framework for guessing the 'hidden' words from the 'visible' sounds.

1The Hidden State

A Hidden Markov Model (HMM) is a statistical model where the system is assumed to be a Markov process with unobserved (hidden) states. In speech, the hidden state is the specific Phoneme the person is trying to say. The only thing the machine can see are the Observations—the MFCC features extracted from the audio. The goal of the HMM is to calculate the probability that a specific sequence of phonemes resulted in the specific sequence of audio features observed.

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hmm = {
  'states': ['SILENCE', 'PHONEME_S', 'PHONEME_A'],
  'observations': [mfcc_frame_1, mfcc_frame_2],
  'transitions': P(S -> A),
  'emissions': P(MFCC | S)
}
localhost:3000
localhost:3000/hmm-structure
HMM Components
Hidden: Phonemes
Visible: MFCC Vectors
Model Initialized

2The Viterbi Path

When we talk, we might say a vowel for 100ms one time and 200ms the next. The Viterbi Algorithm uses Dynamic Programming to find the 'Most Likely Path' through all possible hidden states. It efficiently calculates which sequence of phonemes maximizes the overall probability, allowing the system to correctly identify 'Hello' even if the user speaks slowly or quickly. Without Viterbi, the computer would have to test every possible combination, which is mathematically impossible for even a short sentence.

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def viterbi(obs, states, start_p, trans_p, emit_p):
    # Dynamic programming to find best path
    # Returns the most likely sequence of states
    return path, path_probability

likely_phonemes = viterbi(mfccs, hmm_states, ...)
localhost:3000
localhost:3000/viterbi-path
🧗
Viterbi Decoding
Optimal Path Found

3Acoustic Modeling with GMMs

To handle the fact that every person's voice sounds slightly different, HMMs were paired with Gaussian Mixture Models (GMMs). The GMM's job was to model the 'Acoustic Likelihood'—given that the state is the phoneme '/a/', how likely is it that we would see these specific MFCC values? This GMM-HMM architecture was the state-of-the-art for ASR until around 2012, when Deep Neural Networks began to outperform them by replacing the GMM with a much more powerful 'Deep' acoustic model.

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from sklearn.mixture import GaussianMixture

# Train a GMM for the phoneme '/a/'
gmm_a = GaussianMixture(n_components=8)
gmm_a.fit(mfccs_for_phoneme_a)

# Score a new frame
likelihood = gmm_a.score([new_frame])
localhost:3000
localhost:3000/gmm-hmm
GMM Likelihood
Phoneme Model: /a/
Acoustic Score: -3.45
Legacy Architecture Ready

?Frequently Asked Questions

Pascual Vila

Pascual Vila

Frontend Instructor // Code Syllabus

Lesson Glossary

[01]Hidden Markov Model

A statistical model used to model systems with hidden states that change over time based on probabilities.

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Probabilistic Sequence

[02]Viterbi Algorithm

A dynamic programming algorithm for finding the most likely sequence of hidden states—called the Viterbi path.

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The Best Guess Path

[03]GMM

Gaussian Mixture Model: A probabilistic model used to represent the distribution of data points (like MFCCs) for a specific state.

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Acoustic Probability

[04]Transition Probability

The probability of moving from one state to another (e.g., from the start of a word to the middle).

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State Jump %

[05]Emission Probability

The probability of an observation (audio) being produced by a specific hidden state (phoneme).

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Output Likelihood

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